September 30, 2011

Cats Blamed for Lloyd’s Costliest First Half on Record

Filed under: auto insurance, commercial insurance — cleavelandinsurance @ 3:12 pm

Cats Blamed for Lloyd’s Costliest First Half on Record

September 21, 2011 | Subscribe Now By Caroline McDonald, PropertyCasualty360.com

NU Online News Service, Sept. 21, 11:26 a.m. EDT

Lloyd’s today announced an interim loss before tax of £697 million ($1.12 billion at current exchange rate) for the 2011 first half, compared to £628 million ($980.3 million) in profit for the same period a year ago.

The loss represents the costliest first six months on record for major catastrophes for the insurance industry, and Lloyd’s says 2011 already is likely to be the second most expensive year ever for insurers.

Lloyd’s Chief Executive, Richard Ward, says in a statement, “These are tough times for the insurance industry, but we are well positioned to handle them. Despite incurring $10.8 billion in claims from the costliest first half-year on record, Lloyd’s entered the second half of the year with $92 billion in net assets to support our business and pay claims.”

He adds, however, that “while interest rates are low and equity markets are volatile, we can’t rely on investment income to subsidize our underwriting; we must decline under-priced risks.”

Luke Savage, director, finance, risk management and operations for Lloyd’s tells NU Online News Service that at $60 billion, catastrophe losses for this year’s first half already exceed those for all of last year—which were around $42 billion.

“In that context, it’s what we’re here to do—to pay claims when bad things happen,” Savage says.

“Whilst it has been a tough first year, compared to our peers, we think we’ve actually done pretty well,” Savage says. “It’s been more or less an earnings event rather than a capital event and whilst we’ve got very tough times ahead,” Lloyd’s is still “strongly capitalized—in fact more strongly capitalized than we were at year-end.”

Lloyd’s says its conservative investment mix has resulted in a positive return of £548 million ($883 million), despite the continuing volatility in financial markets. 

Lloyd’s says it has been stressing underwriting discipline in the industry, which Savage believes has helped the situation.

While it’s difficult to “pin down the impact of the central oversight” which Lloyd’s exerts, he says, looking at its combined ratio of 113.3 compared to peer groups, “It looks like we’ve come through in good shape compared to our peers. We like to think underwriting discipline played a big part of it.”

Regarding whether the first-half events will turn the market, Savage says, “We don’t think what we’ve seen so far is turning the market. Off the back of the catastrophes we’ve seen some strong rating improvement” in the geographies and classes impacted, including New Zealand property and Japanese property and some improved international reinsurance rates, he notes.

More recently, he notes, there have been some small improvements in U.S. reinsurance rates due to tornado activity, but overall, “in other geographies and other classes, rates are at best hovering and indeed, in U.S. casualty we see them still drifting slowly downwards.”

Savage adds, “I’m not sure what it would take to turn the market as a whole, but it doesn’t look like we’ve had it yet.”

Because 43 percent of Lloyd’s business is in U.S. and Canada, he says, normally the majority of losses would have reflected hurricane and/or earthquake losses from that region. This year, however, “The big losses have been largely from outside the U.S.,” including the Japanese quake and tsunami, the Christchurch, New Zealand quake and Australian floods. In the U.S., losses have been confined to tornadoes, he says.

Lloyd’s financial strength ratings were reaffirmed by A.M. Best ‘A’ (Excellent), Standard & Poor’s ‘A+’ (Strong) and Fitch Ratings ‘A+’ (Strong).

September 21, 2011

Commercial-Lines Survey Points to Hardening Rates

Filed under: commercial insurance — cleavelandinsurance @ 2:41 pm

Commercial-Lines Survey Points to Hardening Rates
September 13, 2011 | Subscribe Now
By Phil Gusman, PropertyCasualty360.com
NU Online News Service, Sept. 13, 1:51 p.m. EDT

Commercial-insurance prices increased by almost 1.5 percent in the 2011 second quarter after the first quarter remained flat, indicating that the market may be hardening, according to Towers Watson’s most recent Commercial Lines Insurance Pricing Survey (CLIPS).

Towers Watson says its survey results, which uses data by 38 insurers representing about 20 percent of the U.S. commercial-insurance market, is consistent with a CFO survey it will be releasing soon, in which 75 percent of respondents say standard property-market prices were at the bottom or turning upward.

Workers’ compensation and commercial property show the most significant price increases in the quarter, Towers Watson says. For workers’ comp, it is the second consecutive quarter in which rates have increased, while commercial-property prices increased for the first time in five quarters. Towers Watson notes commercial-property rates are likely influenced by catastrophes early in the season, and adds that “third-quarter indications will provide a more-complete indication of the pricing response.”

A notable exception to the price-increase trend was directors and officers liability, Towers Watson says, which continued to show “significant declines in price levels.”

The firm says historical loss-cost information reported by participating carriers points to a 3 percent deterioration in loss ratios in the 2011 first half, relative to the same period in 2010.

——————————————————————————–

September 6, 2011

Eqecat: Insurers to Pay $1.5B-$2.8B from Irene

Filed under: commercial insurance — cleavelandinsurance @ 12:37 pm

Eqecat: Insurers to Pay $1.5B-$2.8B from Irene

August 31, 2011 | Subscribe Now By Chad Hemenway, PropertyCasualty360.com

A bridge on Route 73 lies in the river in this aerial view on Tuesday, Aug. 30, 2011 in Rochester, Vt. All access to the town has been cut off. National Guard helicopters rushed food and water Tuesday to a dozen Vermont towns cut off by flooding from the rainy remnants of Hurricane Irene in a deluge that took inland areas of New England and upstate New York by surprise with its ferocity.(AP Photo/Toby Talbot)

NU Online News Service, Aug. 31, 9:49 a.m. EDT

Catastrophe modeler Eqecat says the U.S. can expect $1.5 billion to $2.8 billion in insured losses from Hurricane Irene.

Add insured losses from the storm’s damage in the Caribbean and the range climbs to between $1.8 billion and $3.4 billion.

Eqecat says New York, New Jersey and Connecticut account for 60 percent of the insured losses in the U.S., with two-thirds coming from personal insurance policies and one-third from commercial policies.

AIR Worldwide provided a much higher range of estimated insured losses due to Irene of $3 billion to $6 billion.

The Boston-based modeler released an insured loss estimate for the Caribbean of between $500 million and $1.1 billion.

Eqecat says losses in New York could be as much as $900 million. New Jersey insurance claims could reach $600 million. Up to $250 million in insurance losses are expected in Connecticut.

The Oakland, Calif.-based modeler says Irene caused more than $10 billion in economic damages.

The severity of damage was low due to the hurricane’s lower-than-anticipated winds, but high losses are due to the fact that the storm affected more than 40 million people as it traveled from North Carolina up the East Coast into Canada, Eqecat adds.

The estimate includes personal (home and auto) and commercial property losses, covered flood losses, business interruption, and payments made by insurers to evacuated policyholders for living expenses.

Losses to the National Flood Insurance Program, and losses to marine insurers, are not included in the estimate.

AIR’s loss estimate includes wind and storm-surge damage to onshore property and contents, automobiles, additional living expenses, demand surge, and direct and indirect business-interruption losses.